The Appeal of Bonds

“We must all suffer one of two things: the pain of discipline or the pain of regret or disappointment.”

                   Jim Rhon, entrepreneur/motivational speaker

As fixed-income investments, bonds are all about income. Cash flow will be consistent, based on the bond’s coupon, until the bond matures. Each day that passes, the bondholder is accruing income and shortening the bond’s maturity, even though those changes aren’t reflected in the value of their account.

The risk in bonds is in their price, which fluctuates. Bond prices are affected by many factors, including interest rates and inflation. When interest rates increase, yields increase, too, and bond prices generally move in the opposite direction.

With interest rates rising, many investors are concerned about the impact that will have on the price of their bonds, but the Federal Reserve Board has already said that rates will remain below normal levels for years to come. It’s doubtful, for example, that the yield for a 10-year Treasury will exceed 3% anytime soon.

In addition, inflation will likely remain low for some time. The U.S. inflation rate has dropped from 2.7% in February to just 1.6% in June.

And while changes in price matter, most of a bond’s return comes from its coupon. Recognize that it’s all about cash flow and you’ll understand why bonds are a safer investment than stocks.

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Fixed-Income Investors Weather Sovereign Debt Crisis

Because of our focus on managing risk, fixed-income clients of Wenning Investments generally fared well during last week’s sovereign debt crisis, even though it created widespread panic in global markets around the world. 

Clients who hold a short bond position (TBT, PST) saw an unfavorable drop in prices, but we believe that the drop is temporary.  The position is held to provide a hedge against rising interest rates.  Interest rates fell last Thursday, but the overall trend is for interest rates to rise. read more

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