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The Age of Low Expectations

Friday, August 16th, 2013

Observing today’s global economy is like watching Adam Sandler’s best movie.  It’s horrible, but it could be worse.

Consider what passes for improvement today:

Europe is no longer in a recession.  Under the headline, “Eurozone’s longest-ever recession comes to an end,” the Associated Press quoted Eurostat, the European Union’s statistics office, announcing that the 17 EU countries that use the euro saw their economic output increase by 0.3% in the second quarter of 2013.  Over a year, the Eurozone’s growth rate would be 1.1%.

The DJIA is following a familiar pattern.

The DJIA is following a familiar pattern.

That’s the first quarterly growth for the Eurozone since 2011, but it requires some perspective.  China’s growth slowed to just 7% this year and it’s widely regarded as a calamity, signaling that the world’s second largest economy is on the brink of failure.  Europe’s economy is growing at a rate of 1.1 % and the party hats are out because some believe that the Eurocrisis is finally over and we’ll never have to hear the term “sovereign debt” again.

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